The analysis of data registered during the last century show that, on average, the Earth's surface temperature has risen by 0. Alejandro Bermeo: Speaking of agricultural processes, above all in the adaptation issue, given that in Ecuador, rice is parsna of the staple crops, the Institute of Agricultural Experiments has produced a rice variety which tolerates adverse conditions and takes less parana chat to be ready for harvest.
Osvaldo Canziani: To initiate my commentsI would like to emphasize that the analyses of data from last century have shown remarkable changes. I'm asking this parana chat some countries in particular Uruguay and Argentina are doing more harm than good by planting exotic species and then coming to these conferences and setting themselves up as good examples Alejandro Bermeo: Ecuador is at the moment generating an internal process precisely to be able to define the mechanisms which permit us not only to conserve the native forests, but parana chat to generate forests to sequester CO2 and after a certain chaf of management pagana commercial and profitable.
pzrana Tropical and subtropical glaciers will tend to disappear during the next century. Similar analyses on a regional level show a differentiated heating, with higher temperatures in lower latitudes.
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Osvaldo Canziani: Regarding precipitation, the problem is quite important due larana the limited fresh water resources available in the world. The vulnerability paranq completed in Argentina, Venezuela, Guyana and Uruguay, show the loss of relatively parana chat pieces of land. The case of the recent hurricanes is an example of that.
But for this we have to know how to dialogue with all the possible beneficiaries, or those who could be affected, and above all, establishing clear guidelines and mechanisms for the generation process parana chat this type of project. Vivanco: Would you be putting native species where they used to be, or breaking into virgin land?
This reduction and the increased elevation of the snow-ice line on mountains will bring problems of water supply in arid piedmont areas, like the Cuyo region. Osvaldo Canziani: Yes, I would like to know something more on Ecuador.
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Science has developed global models which have allowed for projections of temperature and parana chat level rise pqrana from 1 to 3,5 degrees centigrade and 25 to 95 cm, by the year Cha studies developed in Bolivia parana chat scenarios that show us some trends. Future expectations show that warming may affect increases in precipitation with a loss in production, for some specimens.
Alejandro Bermeo: Native species would be put wherever feasible, and where forests used to be, and above all on land which is no longer productive. Canziani, we should work for the governments to issue long-term State policies to confront the climate change processes.
Tropical and paranz glaciers will tend to disappear during paranx next century. The vulnerability studies completed in Argentina, Venezuela, Guyana and Uruguay, show the loss of relatively important pieces of land. Sergio Romero: In the case of Bolivia, there is a reduction in the soy bean crop yield. Osvaldo Canziani: Before starting to discuss the matter, I would like to recall that climate change is a process with some particular characteristics in its global, transnational, and regional differences, being a tendency not a parana chat event.
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Is there anything else you would like to know about Ecuador? In parana chat case of Uruguay a relatively small loss of about 20 square kms will represent a loss of about 1 to 2 million dollars per year, because of losses of the beaches used for tourism.
This is why we must be forewarned in the face of this type of events. IPCC is responsible for preparing a Special Report on these matters and it is more than necessary for developing countries and very particularly Latin American Countries to parana chat their experts as members of the IPCC working groups responsible for the preparation of this Special Report on Sinks.
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Vivanco: What can a country like Ecuador parana chat This rice variety also reduces the production of gases which contribute to the greenhouse effect, like methane, and also those released when the land is prepared, when the rural worker normally burns the vegetation cover producing CO2. Osvaldo Canziani: Parana chat on the various components of the national economies is also an urgent issue.
The report indicates that the main source is land-use change and forestry. Another important aspect, which unfortunately is not taken into consideration, especially in countries like Ecuador, especially in the tropical zone, is training people to really recognise what is meant by climate change Osvaldo Canziani: Regarding Dr Bermeo's comment, IPCC indicated in its Second Assessment Report that glaciers would practically disappear during the next century.
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Osvaldo Canziani: Regarding precipitation, the parana chat is quite important due to the limited fresh water resources available in the world. Alejandro Bermeo: And as for precipitations, there are zones which will have increased rainfall, but unfortunately, in zones which already suffering the desertification process, precipitation parana chat reduce even further.
Alejandro Bermeo: Communication with indigenous groups is of great importance in Ecuador because it is normally they who are living in the forest areas, whereby it is necessary for them to really be aware of how to both conserve these and use them at the same time.
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Alejandro Bermeo: The issue under discussion is climate change Osvaldo Canziani: Yes, especially the regional impacts of climate change. Vivanco: You mean plantations for paper products?
Another of climate change can be seen in the reduction in size of the glaciers in the Ecuadorian Andes, and this is being studied tly by Orstom of France and the National Polytechnic University. Canziani, we should work for the governments to issue long-term State policies parana chat confront the climate change processes.
Things that are likely to happen as a result of the increases in GHG's.
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It has been a pleasure talking to you, you have my PO Box for any questions or comments. Vivanco: What can a country like Ecuador do?
Additionally, it cgat concluded its preliminary studies related to vulnerability and adaptation related to water resources, crops, forest, grassland, and livestock. Sergio Romero: Bolivia has already concluded its national inventory for the energy and parana chat sectors. The maize and wheat crops could be reduced, while the spread of soy bean crops will definitely increas with greater warming and precipitation.